Judgment biases
are consistently observed when people evaluate
probabilistic information. Specifically, people usually overrate events that
are unlikely to happen, such as winning five million on the lottery, having a child with a
genetic disease, or being involved in a traffic accident. Such overrating leads
to impulsive purchase of lottery tickets and
overinvestment in insurance. The emergence and reduction of these judgment biases
needs to be investigated to help people make
rational decisions.
Judgment biases become
inevitable when decision makers
become too attached
to certain outcomes (Williams, Stein, & Galguera, 2014). Therefore, such biases can potentially be reduced by increasing the social distance
between the decision maker and the
beneficiary. Such principle is well recognized in the medical profession. For
example, the Ethics Manual of the American
College of Physicians prescribes that physicians must avoid treating themselves, close friends, or
family members (Snyder, 2012). Similarly, the Code of Medical
Ethics of the American
Medical Association suggests that physicians must not treat themselves or members of their
immediate families because their personal
feelings may unduly influence their professional
medical judgment, thereby interfering with the care being delivered (American Medical Association, 2014).
In one of my research project, my coauthors and I investigate whether increased social distance can reduce judgment biases. As it turns out, social
distance can indeed reduce these biases, because as the social distance increases, people are less stimulated emotionally, making them better utilize available information to make better decisions.
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